Pandemia de la COVID-19 y las políticas de salud pública en el Perú: Marzo-Mayo 2020

Jorge R. Gonzales-Castillo, Luis Varona-Castillo, Moisés G. Domínguez-Morante, Víctor R. Ocaña-Gutierrez

Producción científica: Contribución a una revistaArtículorevisión exhaustiva

21 Citas (Scopus)

Resumen

Objective The objective of the study is to analyze the behavior dynamics of COVID-19 in Peru, estimate and evaluate the impact of the suppression public policy (quarantine). Methods The SIR epidemiological model and the estimation with the ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method. Results It was found that the basic number of propagation (Ro) fell from 6,0 to 3,2 having been reduced by 54% due to the suppression strategy; and two months later it falls to 1,7. However, it remains high and evidence that the level of those infected con-tinues to expand with its adverse social and economic effects. Conclusion: COVID-19 is a disease that grows exponentially, and that the health policy based on the suppression strategy has allowed to flatten the contagion curve, thus avoiding the collapse of the Health System.

Título traducido de la contribuciónCOVID-19 pandemic and public health policies in Peru: March-May 2020
Idioma originalEspañol
Páginas (desde-hasta)1-9
Número de páginas9
PublicaciónRevista de Salud Publica
Volumen22
N.º2
DOI
EstadoPublicada - 2020
Publicado de forma externa

Palabras clave

  • COVID-19
  • Health economics
  • Nonlinear dynamics
  • Pandemic (source: MeSH, NLM)
  • Quarantine

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